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Mathematics of Blackjack Discussion

Some tables

Posted By: Norm Wattenberger
Date: Friday, 26 April 2002, at 7:55 a.m.

In Response To: Wonging (Thomas Hukk)

When you Wong, you spread less but use a higher minimum bet. As an example I've included two tables below. Each table shows the optimal bets, Risk of Ruin, Win Rate in unts and DI for all penetrations from 52 cards to 130 cards remaining. Both tables assume an $8,000 bankroll and full Kelly, KO Preferred, S17, DAS 8 decks. The first table is assuming play all hands and the second assumes wonging in at -7 (the correct value for KO eight deck IMO.)

Play All

Cards<=-8-7-6-5-4-3-2-1012>=3RiskW/RDI
521010101010102030505010010013.5%1.844.80
531010101010103030505010010013.8%1.824.75
541010101010103030505010010013.9%1.804.71
551010101010203030505010010014.1%1.784.67
561010101010203050505010010014.7%1.784.63
571010101010203050505010010014.8%1.764.59
581010101010203050505010010014.9%1.744.54
591010101010203050505010010015.1%1.724.50
601010101010203050505010010015.2%1.704.47
611010101010203050505010010015.3%1.684.43
621010101010203050505010010015.5%1.654.39
631010101010203050505010010015.7%1.634.35
641010101010203050505010010015.8%1.614.31
651010101010203050505010010016.0%1.594.27
6610101010102030505010010010017.6%1.664.24
6710101010102030505010010010017.8%1.634.20
6810101010102030505010010010018.0%1.614.16
6910101010103030505010010010018.3%1.604.12
7010101010103030505010010010018.4%1.584.08
7110101010103030505010010010018.6%1.564.05
7210101010203030505010010010018.9%1.544.01
7310101010203050505010010010019.4%1.543.97
7410101010203050505010010010019.6%1.523.94
7510101010203050505010010010019.7%1.513.91
7610101010203050505010010010019.9%1.493.87
7710101010203050505010010010020.1%1.473.83
78101010102030505010010010010021.9%1.523.80
79101010102030505010010010010022.0%1.503.77
80101010102030505010010010010022.1%1.493.74
81555510152525505050505.0%1.473.71
82555510152525505050505.0%1.453.68
83555515152525505050505.2%1.443.65
84555515152525505050505.3%1.423.61
85555515152525505050505.3%1.403.58
86555515152525505050505.4%1.383.55
87555515152525505050505.5%1.373.52
88555515252525505050505.7%1.373.50
895551015252525505050505.8%1.363.47
905551015252525505050505.9%1.343.45
915551015252525505050506.0%1.333.41
925551015252525505050506.1%1.313.38
935551015252525505050506.2%1.293.35
945551015252550505050507.1%1.343.33
955551015252550505050507.2%1.323.30
965551015252550505050507.3%1.313.27
975551015252550505050507.3%1.293.25
985551015252550505050507.5%1.273.21
995551025252550505050507.8%1.273.18
1005551025252550505050507.9%1.263.16
1015551025252550505050507.9%1.253.14
1025551525252550505050508.1%1.243.11
1035551525252550505050508.2%1.223.09
10455101525252550505050508.3%1.213.07
10555101525252550505050508.4%1.203.05
10655101525252550505050508.5%1.183.02
10755101525252550505050508.7%1.172.98
10855101525252550505050508.7%1.152.96
10955101525252550505050508.8%1.142.94
11055101525252550505050508.9%1.132.92
11155101525252550505050509.0%1.112.89
11255101525252550505050509.1%1.102.87
11355101525252550505050509.2%1.082.84
114551015252550505050505010.4%1.122.82
115551015252550505050505010.5%1.112.80
116551015252550505050505010.5%1.102.78
117551515252550505050505010.8%1.092.75
118551515252550505050505010.9%1.082.73
119551515252550505050505011.0%1.062.70
120551525252550505050505011.5%1.062.68
121551525252550505050505011.6%1.052.65
122551525255050505050505013.0%1.082.63
123551525255050505050505013.1%1.072.61
124551525255050505050505013.2%1.052.58
1255101525255050505050505013.4%1.052.56
1265101525255050505050505013.5%1.042.55
1275101525255050505050505013.6%1.022.52
1285101525255050505050505013.8%1.012.50
1295101525255050505050505014.0%0.992.47
1305101525255050505050505014.1%0.942.40

Back-counting

Cards<=-8-7-6-5-4-3-2-1012>=3RiskW/RDI
523030303030303060609015013.5%1.176.61
533030303030303060609015013.5%1.166.57
543030303030303060609015013.6%1.146.53
553030303030303060609015013.6%1.136.50
563030303030303060609015013.7%1.126.46
573030303030303060609015013.7%1.116.43
583030303030303060609015013.7%1.106.39
593030303030303060609015013.8%1.096.36
603030303030303060609015013.8%1.086.33
613030303030303060609015013.8%1.076.30
623030303030303060609015013.9%1.066.26
633030303030303060609015013.9%1.056.22
643030303030303060609015013.9%1.046.19
653030303030303060609015014.0%1.036.16
663030303030303060609015014.0%1.026.13
673030303030306060609015014.4%1.026.09
683030303030306060609015014.4%1.016.06
693030303030306060609015014.5%1.006.02
703030303030306060609015014.5%0.995.99
713030303030306060609015014.5%0.985.96
723030303030306060609015014.6%0.975.92
733030303030306060609015014.6%0.965.89
743030303030306060609015014.6%0.965.86
753030303030306060609015014.7%0.955.83
763030303030306060609015014.7%0.945.80
773030303030306060609015014.8%0.935.76
783030303030306060609015014.8%0.925.73
793030303030306060609015014.8%0.915.71
803030303030306060609015014.8%0.905.68
813030303030306060609015014.8%0.895.64
823030303030306060609015014.9%0.885.62
833030303030306060609015014.9%0.885.59
843030303030306060609015014.9%0.875.56
853030303030306060609015014.9%0.865.53
863030303030306060609015014.9%0.855.50
873030303030306060609015015.0%0.845.48
883030303030306060609015015.0%0.845.45
893030303030306060609015015.0%0.835.43
903030303030306060609015015.0%0.825.40
913030303030306060609015015.0%0.815.37
923030303030306060609015015.1%0.805.34
933030303030306060909015015.6%0.815.31
943030303030306060909015015.6%0.805.28
953030303030306060909015015.6%0.795.25
963030303030306060909015015.7%0.795.22
973030303030306060909015015.7%0.785.19
983030303030306060909015015.8%0.775.16
993030303030306060909015015.8%0.765.13
1003030303030306060909015015.8%0.765.11
1013030303030306060909015015.8%0.755.09
1022525252525505050757512511.3%0.755.06
1032525252525505050757512511.3%0.745.04
1042525252525505050757512511.3%0.745.01
1052525252525505050757512511.3%0.734.99
1062525252525505050757512511.3%0.724.96
1072525252525505050757512511.4%0.714.92
1082525252525505050757512511.4%0.714.90
1092525252525505050757512511.4%0.704.88
1102525252525505050757512511.4%0.694.86
1112525252525505050757512511.4%0.694.83
1122525252525505050757512511.4%0.684.81
1132525252525505050757512511.4%0.674.78
1142525252525505050757512511.4%0.674.76
1152525252525505050757512511.4%0.664.74
1162525252525505050757512511.4%0.664.72
1172525252525505050757512511.4%0.654.69
1182525252525505075757512511.9%0.654.67
1192525252525505075757512511.9%0.654.64
1202525252550505075757512512.3%0.654.62
1212525252550505075757512512.3%0.644.59
1222525252550505075757512512.4%0.644.56
1232525252550505075757512512.4%0.634.53
1242525252550505075757512512.4%0.624.51
1252525252550505075757512512.4%0.624.49
1262525252550505075757512512.4%0.614.47
1272525252550505075757512512.4%0.614.45
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